KalshiOpen

Will Trump say "Turkey / Turkish" before Dec 1, 2026?

Turkey / Turkish99%
No1%

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24h volume$2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread9%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 30 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1, 06:02 AMNov 1, 01:19 PMNov 1, 08:36 PMNov 2, 03:53 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Turkey / Turkish, or a plural or possessive form of Turkey / Turkish, is stated by Donald Trump before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump say "France / French" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi99% France / FrenchOpen
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Will Trump say "Poland / Polish" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi90% Poland / PolishOpen
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Will Trump say "Argentina / Argentinian" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi85% Argentina / ArgentinianOpen
Will Trump say "South Africa / South African" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi66% NoOpen
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Will Trump say "UAE / United Arab Emirates" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi86% UAE / United Arab EmiratesOpen
Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi99% Cuba / CubanOpen
Will Trump say "Sudan / Sudanese" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Kuwait / Kuwaiti" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi64% Kuwait / KuwaitiOpen
Will Trump say "Japan / Japanese" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi82% Japan / JapaneseOpen
Will Trump say "Taiwan / Taiwanese" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi94% Taiwan / TaiwaneseOpen
Will Trump say "Bahrain / Bahraini" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi54% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Spain / Spanish" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi99% Spain / SpanishOpen
Will Trump say "Egypt / Egyptian" before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi99% Egypt / EgyptianOpen

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As of Nov 2, 04:31 AM UTC