Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Baylor wins the Baylor vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on the official final result with a fair-price fallback if postponed/cancelled beyond 48 hours; Gemini settles on the official result using named source agencies and its review process if the value cannot be determined. These are resolution differences, not a different question.
this market
Baylor wins
If Baylor wins the Baylor vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves to Yes if Baylor wins the College Football game between Baylor and BYU originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
read Nov 10, 11:23 AM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 hours ago
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