Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If TCU wins the Kansas St. vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Comparable, not identical. Gemini cites the game originally scheduled for Nov. 14, 2026 and has a market-outcome review process if the result cannot be determined; Kalshi specifies a fair-price settlement if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours; Novig says a void settles at fair market value. These are material settlement differences, but they do not change the underlying question.
This market resolves to Yes if TCU wins the College Football game between TCU and Kansas State originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
read Nov 10, 11:24 AM UTC
this market
TCU wins
If TCU wins the Kansas St. vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Novig NCAAF money market on TCU vs Kansas State, scheduled 2026-11-14 19:00 UTC. Sides: TCU / KSU. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Nov 10, 06:19 PM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 hours ago
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