KalshiResolved

Will Matthieu Pavon win the 4th round 3-ball matchup? Matthieu Pavon beats Novak and Ghim

No97%
Matthieu Pavon beats Novak and Ghim3%

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24h volume$15
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
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ResolvesNov 1, 2026yesterday

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1, 03:05 AMNov 1, 01:41 PMNov 2, 12:16 AMNov 2, 10:51 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Matthieu Pavon is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Matthieu Pavon, Andrew Novak, and Doug Ghim in the 4th round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes. Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Andrew Novak win the 4th round 3-ball matchup? Andrew Novak beats Pavon and GhimKalshi58% NoOpen
Will Doug Ghim win the 4th round 3-ball matchup? Doug Ghim beats Novak and PavonKalshi55% Doug Ghim beats Novak and PavonOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 2, 09:28 PM UTC