How low will BTC get in November? — Dips to $70,000

Yes56%
No45%

Price checked at

24h volume$9.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 20 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or below $70,000 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Dec 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $70,000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on resolution source and price series: one uses CF Benchmarks BRTI, two use Binance BTC/USDT 1m candles. The published criteria otherwise target the same threshold, direction, and November 2026 window.
  • Polymarket USthis market

    How low will BTC get in November? — Dips to $70,000

    This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or below $70,000 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Dec 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $70,000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.

    read Nov 10, 06:30 PM UTC

  • What price will Bitcoin hit in November 2026 — ↓ 70,000

    This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

    read Nov 10, 10:29 PM UTC

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?

    This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 hours ago
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 10, 11:05 PM UTC