No 98%
Yes 3%
Price checked at Nov 10, 11:21 PM UTC
24h volume $0
7d volume —
30d volume —
Liquidity $124
Spread 3%
Resolves Dec 1, 2026 in 20 days
Probability history Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Probability history 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 1 Nov 4 Nov 6 Nov 8 Nov 10 Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. 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This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or above $100,000 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Dec 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or above $100,000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Venue activity Read from the venue 6 hours ago Holders —
Held value —
Trades (24h) —
Trades —
Open interest —
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As of Nov 10, 11:27 PM UTC
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$100,000 · this market 3%