PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller

Hugo Grenier58%
Marvin Moeller43%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$5.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Marvin Moeller in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Hugo Grenier” if Hugo Grenier wins the first set. It will resolve to “Marvin Moeller” if Marvin Moeller wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller: Hugo Grenier winsPolymarket60% Hugo GrenierOpen
Taranto: Completed Match: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin MoellerPolymarket50% YesOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Hugo Grenier (-1.5) vs Marvin Moeller (+1.5)Polymarket61% Marvin MoellerOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Hugo Grenier vs. Marvin Moeller: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Grenier vs. Moeller: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin MoellerPolymarket50% Hugo GrenierOpen
Grenier vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket61% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Hugo Grenier (-1.5) vs Marvin Moeller (+1.5)Polymarket56% Hugo GrenierOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 3, 04:11 AM UTC