PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Joel Schwaerzler (-0.5) vs Jan Kumstat (+0.5)

Jan Kumstat100%
Joel Schwaerzler1%

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24h volume—
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Spread100%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 07:46 PMNov 1, 11:51 AMNov 2, 03:55 AMNov 2, 08:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Joel Schwaerzler" if Joel Schwaerzler wins 0.5 or more total games than Jan Kumstat in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jan Kumstat". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Joel Schwaerzler could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Jan Kumstat". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat: Joel Schwaerzler winsPolymarket100% Jan KumstatOpen
Taipei: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan KumstatPolymarket100% YesOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Jan Kumstat (-1.5) vs Joel Schwaerzler (+1.5)Polymarket100% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Joel Schwaerzler vs. Jan Kumstat: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan KumstatPolymarket100% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan KumstatPolymarket51% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 2, 08:34 PM UTC