Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 7?

No98%
Yes2%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$22.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 7, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 06:06 PMOct 31, 11:44 PMNov 1, 05:22 AMNov 1, 11:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 31 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve off the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET on November 7. The published criteria differ in no material way; one venue adds a general bracket tie-break note, but the question and resolution standard are otherwise the same.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 7?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

  • Bitcoin price on November 7 — >86,000

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

    read Nov 1, 09:28 AM UTC

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As of Nov 1, 11:00 AM UTC