GeminiOpen

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 1, 2026? — 68°F or above

No—
Yes—

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ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 16 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 09:08 PMNov 1, 02:05 AMNov 1, 07:02 AMNov 1, 12:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 31 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport, CA on November 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport, CA. Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on November 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).

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As of Nov 1, 12:51 PM UTC