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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,585 or above

7,585 or above98%
No2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread16%
ResolvesNov 2, 20269 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:16 PMNov 1, 07:51 AMNov 2, 03:25 AMNov 2, 11:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST is above 7584.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on November 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after November 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,610 or aboveKalshi99% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,600 or aboveKalshi99% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,605 or aboveKalshi99% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,550 or aboveKalshi99% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,560 or aboveKalshi99% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,555 or aboveKalshi99% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,640 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,620 or aboveKalshi99% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,590 or aboveKalshi99% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7564.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,565 or aboveKalshi98% 7,565 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,615 or aboveKalshi99% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,665 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,660 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,595 or aboveKalshi99% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,650 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,580 or aboveKalshi99% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,575 or aboveKalshi97% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,625 or aboveKalshi99% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,570 or aboveKalshi97% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,635 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,815 or aboveKalshi78% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7804.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,805 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,655 or aboveKalshi96% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? 7,675 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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Open interest—
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As of Nov 2, 11:31 PM UTC