KalshiOpen

Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 28000 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 27,999.99 or below

27,999.99 or below71%
No29%

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24h volume$100.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 1 hour

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:13 PMNov 1, 07:35 AMNov 2, 02:57 AMNov 2, 10:19 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on November 02, 2026 is below 28000, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on November 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after November 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29600 and 29699.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 29,600 to 29,699.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28400 and 28499.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,400 to 28,499.99Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30099.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 30,000 to 30,099.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28600 and 28699.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,600 to 28,699.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28200 and 28299.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,200 to 28,299.99Kalshi71% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28100 and 28199.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,100 to 28,199.99Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28500 and 28599.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,500 to 28,599.99Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30300 and 30399.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 30,300 to 30,399.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28000 and 28099.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,000 to 28,099.99Kalshi64% 28,000 to 28,099.99Open
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28300 and 28399.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,300 to 28,399.99Kalshi88% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30799.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 30,800 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28700 and 28799.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,700 to 28,799.99Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28900 and 28999.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,900 to 28,999.99Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28800 and 28899.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,800 to 28,899.99Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29000 and 29099.9900 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 29,000 to 29,099.99Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Nov 2, 10:34 PM UTC