PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune

Tommy Paul62%
Holger Rune38%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$7.4K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Holger Rune in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins the first set. It will resolve to “Holger Rune” if Holger Rune wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Holger RunePolymarket66% Tommy PaulOpen
Tommy Paul vs. Holger Rune: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Holger RunePolymarket50% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)Polymarket58% Holger RuneOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket69% UnderOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket81% OverOpen
Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-3.5) vs Holger Rune (+3.5)Polymarket57% Holger RuneOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Paul vs. Rune: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Holger RunePolymarket50% Holger RuneOpen

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As of Nov 2, 11:33 PM UTC