Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If UCLA wins the Illinois vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics and timing: Gemini/Novig/Kalshi use different resolution dates and different void/cancellation language. Those criteria do not materially change the question of whether UCLA wins the specified game.
Novig NCAAF money market on UCLA vs Illinois, scheduled 2026-11-14 02:00 UTC. Sides: UCLA / Illinois. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Nov 10, 08:07 PM UTC
this market
UCLA wins
If UCLA wins the Illinois vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves to Yes if UCLA wins the College Football game between UCLA and Illinois originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
read Nov 10, 08:16 AM UTC
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