Polymarket USOpen

Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? — 70 to 71

No86%
Yes14%

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24h volume$5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread22%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 12 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1, 04:01 AMNov 1, 05:50 PMNov 2, 07:39 AMNov 2, 09:28 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Will the highest temperature recorded at Central Park (KNYC) in New York City for 2026-11-02 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be between 70F and 71F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? — 64 to 65PolymarketUs—Open
Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? — 66 to 67PolymarketUs77% YesOpen
Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? — 63 or belowPolymarketUs—Open
Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? — 68 to 69PolymarketUs95% NoOpen
Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? — 72 or abovePolymarketUs99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 2, 09:46 PM UTC