Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming A Team Test cricket match between New Zealand A and India A, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Read the full rules
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi’s no-result handling differs: it can resolve to fair market price if the match is cancelled before start or delayed more than 5 days, while the other markets resolve to draw/no-result in those cases. The published criteria otherwise concern the same match and winning outcome.
this market
Will New Zealand A win?
In the upcoming A Team Test cricket match between New Zealand A and India A, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If New Zealand A wins the New Zealand A vs India A men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the match ends in a draw or tie, the market titled "Draw/Tie" will resolve Yes.
If the match is cancelled prior to scheduled commencement, or is abandoned prior to the toss (i.e. the toss does not occur) and no
official result is declared by the governing body, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price.
If the match is delayed for more than 5 days from its original scheduled start time before commencement, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price.
If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets will resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body of the relevant competition.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming A Team Test cricket match between New Zealand A and India A, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
read Nov 9, 12:24 PM UTC
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