KalshiOpen

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Dejan Šoškić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?

Dejan Šoškić58%
No42%

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24h volume$587
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$17
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Dejan Šoškić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Ilija Srdanović become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Aleksandar Vučić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Stefan Krkobabić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Ivica Dačić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Miloš Vučević become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Dragan Đilas become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Ana Brnabić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Dejan Bodiroga become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Will Radomir Saičić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Kalshi89% NoOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:53 PM UTC