Nothing Ever Happens: November
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Probability history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/November_NEH.pdf
Venue activity
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As of Nov 2, 08:23 PM UTC