GeminiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Milwaukee vs USC: Milwaukee wins

USC97%

Milwaukee3%

Price checked at Nov 2, 08:11 PM UTC

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ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Milwaukee wins the men's college basketball game between Milwaukee and USC originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on resolution details: Kalshi uses the official final result and pays fair price if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours; Polymarket stays open if postponed and resolves 50-50 if cancelled; Gemini relies on specified source agencies and may use its market outcome review process if the result cannot be determined.

Open
Milwaukee wins
If Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee vs USC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open
Milwaukee Panthers vs USC Trojans: Milwaukee Panthers wins
In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 10:30PM ET: If the Milwaukee Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Panthers". If the USC Trojans win, the market will resolve to "USC Trojans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
this market
Milwaukee vs USC: Milwaukee wins
This market resolves to Yes if Milwaukee wins the men's college basketball game between Milwaukee and USC originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)