Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-5.5)

Florida (-5.5)52%
Miami (+5.5)48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 10:05 PMOct 31, 09:16 PMNov 1, 08:28 PMNov 2, 07:40 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Florida in the entire men's college basketball game between Miami and Florida scheduled for 2026-11-02 at 5:00 p.m. CT is above 5.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Florida's score minus Miami's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles based on the official final result and may void to fair price if not started within 48 hours; Gemini uses its own review process and lists multiple reference sources. The published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics, not in the underlying question.
  • Florida wins by over 5.5 points

    If Florida wins by more than 5.5 points in the Florida vs Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-5.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Florida in the entire men's college basketball game between Miami and Florida scheduled for 2026-11-02 at 5:00 p.m. CT is above 5.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Florida's score minus Miami's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-1.5)Gemini67% Florida (-1.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-18.5)Gemini88% Miami (+18.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-30.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-4.5)Gemini58% Florida (-4.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Miami (-15.5)Gemini93% Florida (+15.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-22.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-12.5)Gemini74% Miami (+12.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Miami (-11.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Miami (-7.5)Gemini89% Florida (+7.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-15.5)Gemini82% Miami (+15.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Miami (-4.5)Gemini81% Florida (+4.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-6.5)Gemini53% Miami (+6.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-3.5)Gemini62% Florida (-3.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-9.5)Gemini63% Miami (+9.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-26.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-7.5)Gemini57% Miami (+7.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Miami (-1.5)Gemini74% Florida (+1.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-29.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-25.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-21.5)Gemini—Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-2.5)Gemini66% Florida (-2.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-11.5)Gemini69% Miami (+11.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-14.5)Gemini78% Miami (+14.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-8.5)Gemini61% Miami (+8.5)Open
Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-17.5)Gemini85% Miami (+17.5)Open

Venue activity

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As of Nov 2, 07:38 PM UTC