GeminiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Buffalo vs Marshall: Buffalo wins

Marshall56%

Buffalo44%

Price checked at Nov 2, 06:50 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

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Spread2%

ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Buffalo wins the men's college basketball game between Buffalo and Marshall originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only on resolution details: Polymarket uses NCAA.com and pays 50-50 on a cancellation, Kalshi uses its own fair-price fallback if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, and Gemini references official sources and a review process for unresolved cases. These criteria differ in no material way for the underlying win/lose question.

Open
Buffalo Bulls vs Marshall Thundering Herd: Buffalo Bulls wins
In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Buffalo Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Buffalo Bulls". If the Marshall Thundering Herd win, the market will resolve to "Marshall Thundering Herd". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Open
Buffalo wins
If Buffalo wins the Buffalo vs Marshall men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
this market
Buffalo vs Marshall: Buffalo wins
This market resolves to Yes if Buffalo wins the men's college basketball game between Buffalo and Marshall originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)