GeminiOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Lafayette vs Butler: Lafayette wins

Butler96%

Lafayette4%

Price checked at Nov 2, 07:35 PM UTC

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Spread1%

ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Lafayette wins the men's college basketball game between Lafayette and Butler originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement timing and some fallback rules for postponement/cancellation, but all resolve on the same game result: whether Lafayette wins the specified Lafayette vs Butler matchup.

Open
Lafayette wins
If Lafayette wins the Lafayette vs Butler men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open
Lafayette Leopards vs Butler Bulldogs: Lafayette Leopards wins
In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lafayette Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Lafayette Leopards". If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Butler Bulldogs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
this market
Lafayette vs Butler: Lafayette wins
This market resolves to Yes if Lafayette wins the men's college basketball game between Lafayette and Butler originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)