Niagara vs West Virginia: Niagara wins

West Virginia98%
Niagara2%

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ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 2, 07:01 AMNov 2, 12:22 PMNov 2, 05:44 PMNov 2, 11:06 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Nov 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Niagara wins the men's college basketball game between Niagara and West Virginia originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only on settlement mechanics and sources: Polymarket cites NCAA.com and a 50-50 rule on cancellation, Kalshi uses its fair-price rule if cancelled or not started within 48 hours, and Gemini uses its own review process/source hierarchy. These are material to payout handling but not to the underlying event question.
  • Niagara Purple Eagles vs West Virginia Mountaineers: Niagara Purple Eagles wins

    In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Niagara Purple Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Niagara Purple Eagles". If the West Virginia Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to "West Virginia Mountaineers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

  • Niagara wins

    If Niagara wins the Niagara vs West Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    Niagara vs West Virginia: Niagara wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Niagara wins the men's college basketball game between Niagara and West Virginia originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Niagara vs West Virginia: West Virginia winsGemini—Open

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As of Nov 2, 11:56 PM UTC