Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points

No66%
Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points34%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Central Michigan wins by more than 4.5 points in the Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution details: Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast sources and may use a review process if undetermined, Polymarket uses ncaa.com and settles 50-50 if canceled, and Kalshi uses its own postponed-within-48-hours rule and fair-price fallback. These are material to settlement but not to the underlying question.
  • Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan: spread: Central Michigan (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Central Michigan in the entire college football game between Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan scheduled for 2026-11-04 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Central Michigan's score minus Eastern Michigan's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Nov 3, 12:43 AM UTC

  • Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan: spread: Central Michigan (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 4 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points

    If Central Michigan wins by more than 4.5 points in the Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Eastern Michigan wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi50% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi53% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi78% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi72% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi78% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi68% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi63% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi57% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi82% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi64% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
Eastern Michigan wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi80% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi71% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
Central Michigan wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 3, 02:37 AM UTC