KalshiOpen

Will the gold close price be above 4024 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4024

No96%
Above $40244%

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24h volume$469
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$22
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 06:35 PMOct 31, 09:02 AMOct 31, 11:29 PMNov 1, 01:56 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 4024 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the gold close price be above 3874 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3874Kalshi64% Above $3874Open
Will the gold close price be above 3884 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3884Kalshi58% Above $3884Open
Will the gold close price be above 4184 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4184Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4164 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4164Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3894 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3894Kalshi51% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4174 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4174Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3794 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3794Kalshi93% Above $3794Open
Will the gold close price be above 3904 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3904Kalshi63% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3994 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3994Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3844 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3844Kalshi80% Above $3844Open
Will the gold close price be above 3924 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3924Kalshi72% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3954 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3954Kalshi86% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4114 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4114Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4104 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4104Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3964 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3964Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3984 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3984Kalshi93% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4014 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4014Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3944 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3944Kalshi83% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3814 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3814Kalshi90% Above $3814Open
Will the gold close price be above 4084 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4084Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3824 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3824Kalshi82% Above $3824Open
Will the gold close price be above 4074 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4074Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3914 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3914Kalshi71% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3864 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $3864Kalshi71% Above $3864Open
Will the gold close price be above 4034 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Above $4034Kalshi96% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Nov 1, 02:24 PM UTC