Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game between Pelicans and Warriors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".
If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on the final score including overtime and use nba.com as the source. They differ only in no-result handling: Opinion stays open if postponed and 50-50 on cancellation, while Polymarket adds a deadline for cancellation/abandonment and a different open-until-completed rule.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-11-10 03:00 UTC: If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "New Orleans Pelicans". If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/
Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
read Nov 10, 07:04 AM UTC
this market
Pelicans vs Warriors: Pelicans wins
In the upcoming NBA game between Pelicans and Warriors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".
If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
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