Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game between Pacers and Mavericks, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers".
If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparable, not identical. They use the same game and winner determination, but differ on settlement mechanics: Opinion resolves to team names and treats a canceled game 50-50, while Polymarket/Limitless use yes/no or side labels with different no-result deadlines. These are material only to resolution procedure, not to the event being priced.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-11-10 01:00 UTC: If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Pacers". If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/
Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
read Nov 10, 05:37 AM UTC
this market
Pacers vs Mavericks: Pacers wins
In the upcoming NBA game between Pacers and Mavericks, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers".
If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game between Pacers and Mavericks, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
0 holders · read Nov 10, 12:19 AM UTC
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