Moicano vs Nolan: Renato Moicano
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market resolves to Yes if Renato Moicano wins the Moicano vs Nolan professional MMA fight scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
The same question elsewhere
3 venues carry itRenato Moicano vs Tom Nolan: Renato Moicano wins
Novig UFC money market on Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan, scheduled 2026-11-01 02:30 UTC. Sides: Renato Moicano / Tom Nolan. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Nov 1, 02:07 AM UTC
Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan: Renato Moicano wins
If Renato Moicano wins the Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
read Nov 1, 11:15 AM UTC
this marketMoicano vs Nolan: Renato Moicano
This market resolves to Yes if Renato Moicano wins the Moicano vs Nolan professional MMA fight scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moicano vs Nolan: Tom Nolan | Gemini | — | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 03:07 PM UTC