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PolymarketOpen

Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?

Up86%
Down15%

Price checked at

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$103K
7d volume$103K
30d volume$103K
Liquidity$36.6K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 03:07 PMOct 31, 05:45 AMOct 31, 08:22 PMNov 1, 11:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Nov 1, 11:49 AM UTC