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Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 4 Tom Nolan to win in Round 4

No99%
Tom Nolan to win in Round 41%

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24h volume$1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 20267 hours ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 03:37 AMOct 30, 09:55 PMOct 31, 04:12 PMNov 1, 10:29 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 2 Tom Nolan to win in Round 2Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 1 Renato Moicano to win in Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 1 Tom Nolan to win in Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 2 Renato Moicano to win in Round 2Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 3 Renato Moicano to win in Round 3Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 4 Renato Moicano to win in Round 4Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 3 Tom Nolan to win in Round 3Kalshi99% Tom Nolan to win in Round 3Open
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 5 Tom Nolan to win in Round 5Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will either competitor win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest Decision / Draw / No ContestKalshi99% NoOpen
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 5 Renato Moicano to win in Round 5Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 11:05 AM UTC