KalshiOpen

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026? At least 195,000

At least 195,00062%
No38%

Price checked at

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24h volume$744
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 02:44 AMOct 30, 10:30 PMOct 31, 06:16 PMNov 1, 02:02 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If there are at least 195,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

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Open interest—
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As of Nov 1, 02:27 PM UTC