Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Germany wins the Serbia vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
The following market refers to the Serbia vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement details only: Novig uses fair market value on a void, Kalshi resolves by the 90-minute result and may go to fair price if cancelled/rescheduled, and Limitless waits for completion and uses the official final result if needed. These are material only to settlement, not to the underlying question.
this market
Germany wins
If Germany wins the Serbia vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Serbia vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 13, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Novig UEFA Nations League moneyline 3 way win market on Serbia vs Germany, scheduled 2026-11-13 19:45 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Nov 10, 07:42 PM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 9 hours ago
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