PolymarketDelisted

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt

Valerio Aboian71%
Nick Hardt30%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12.4K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 01:46 AMOct 30, 10:30 AMOct 30, 07:15 PMOct 31, 04:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Nick Hardt in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Valerio Aboian” if Valerio Aboian wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nick Hardt” if Nick Hardt wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set Handicap: Nick Hardt (-1.5) vs Valerio Aboian (+1.5)Polymarket50% Valerio AboianOpen
Guayaquil: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Nick HardtPolymarket100% YesOpen
Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick HardtPolymarket100% Valerio AboianOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Nick HardtPolymarket50% Valerio AboianOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Valerio Aboian (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)Polymarket50% Nick HardtOpen
Aboian vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Valerio Aboian vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Aboian vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Nick Hardt (-3.5) vs Valerio Aboian (+3.5)Polymarket50% Nick HardtOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 02:12 PM UTC