PolymarketOpen

Will Stephen Jones win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$4K
Spread7%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 11 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 29, 07:48 PMOct 30, 07:02 PMOct 31, 06:16 PMNov 1, 05:30 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the athlete who wins the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie for first place, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.nyrr.org/tcsnycmarathon

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Andreas Almgren win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Will Patrick Kiprop win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Benson Kipruto win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Conner Mantz win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Deresa Geleta win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Joe Klecker win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Zouhair Talbi win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Peter Lynch win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Abdi Nageeye win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Jack Rowe win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will CyBrian Kotut win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Patrick Dever win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Will Edward Cheserek win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Casey Clinger win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Iliass Aouani win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Kamohelo Mofolo win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket67% NoOpen
Will Sam Chelanga win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Turner Wiley win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Robert Miranda win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Joel Reichow win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will Mo Bati win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Owen Ritz win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Aidan Reed win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Polymarket95% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 05:30 PM UTC