PolymarketDelisted

Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)

Daniil Medvedev94%
Adrian Mannarino6%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$121
7d volume$121
30d volume$121
Liquidity$27.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 29, 04:44 PMOct 30, 12:49 AMOct 30, 08:54 AMOct 30, 05:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Adrian Mannarino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Adrian Mannarino." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniil Medvedev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Adrian Mannarino." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil MedvedevPolymarket100% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil MedvedevPolymarket54% YesOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Adrian Mannarino vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket91% Under 2.5Open
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-4.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+4.5)Polymarket56% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil MedvedevPolymarket74% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil MedvedevPolymarket86% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Mannarino vs. Medvedev: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Nov 1, 05:50 PM UTC