KalshiOpen

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,075 billion?

Above $1,075 billion75%
No25%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread46%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 29, 11:00 AMOct 30, 10:44 AMOct 31, 10:29 AMNov 1, 10:13 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $1,075 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date.

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As of Nov 1, 11:06 AM UTC