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Will Kevin Warsh say Inflation Expectation at his Dec 2026 press conference?

Inflation Expectation72%
No28%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread6%
ResolvesDec 24, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 29Oct 30Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Inflation Expectation at his Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi52% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi74% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi82% UncertaintyOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi63% ShockOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Risk Management at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Projection at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi76% ProjectionOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Productivity at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi90% ProductivityOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi63% OilOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Japan / Japanese / Yen at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Independent / Independence at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi71% Independent / IndependenceOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi61% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Family Fight / Family Feud at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi64% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Geopolitical at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi76% GeopoliticalOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi66% CreditOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Dissent at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Diesel at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi80% Central BankOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi76% Balance SheetOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi60% Anchor / AnchoredOpen
Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Dec 2026 press conference?Kalshi81% AI / Artificial IntelligenceOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 12:23 PM UTC