Will Chicago win the 1st Quarter?

No65%
Chicago35%

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24h volume$7.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Chicago wins the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use different settlement sources and slightly different resolution timestamps, but both resolve on Chicago outscoring Seattle in the 1st quarter; tie handling is effectively the same for the Chicago-win question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Chicago win the 1st Quarter?

    If Chicago wins the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Chicago vs Seattle: 1st quarter: Chicago wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Chicago scores more points than Seattle during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Chicago and Seattle scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

    read Nov 2, 10:29 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Seattle win the 1st Quarter?Kalshi55% NoOpen
Will neither team win the 1st Quarter? TieKalshi79% NoOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:51 PM UTC