Will Seattle win the 4th Quarter?

No53%
Seattle47%

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24h volume$1.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Seattle wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi explicitly states overtime is excluded and offers a separate tie strike; Gemini says a 4th-quarter tie resolves No. These settlement details differ in wording but not in the material event being measured.
  • Chicago vs Seattle: 4th quarter: Seattle wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Seattle scores more points than Chicago during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Seattle and Chicago scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

    read Nov 2, 10:20 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Seattle win the 4th Quarter?

    If Seattle wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will neither team win the 4th Quarter? TieKalshi86% NoOpen
Will Chicago win the 4th Quarter?Kalshi60% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 3, 01:44 AM UTC