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European Parliament election winner?: Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?

EPP69%
No31%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread9%
ResolvesJun 10, 2030in 4 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If EPP wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Nov 2, 09:10 PM UTC