Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$46
7d volume$370
30d volume$370
Liquidity$1.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Sourcehttps://www.netflix.com/tudum/top10/united-states/tv

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket cites the top10.netflix.com update and adds an alphabetical tie-break plus a fallback if the chart is delayed; Kalshi keys off the Nov. 3, 2026 Netflix Top 10 US Show chart and closes the prior day. These criteria differ in no material way for comparison.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

    Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

  • Will The Diplomat: Season 4 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?

    If The Diplomat: Season 4 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.

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As of Nov 1, 11:00 AM UTC