KalshiResolved

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.6% or above

4.6% or above62%

No38%

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24h volume$610

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 29, 20263 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Oct 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 29, 2026, or one week following Oct 29, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.63% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.64% or above	Kalshi	92% No	$888	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.61% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.62% or above	Kalshi	59% 4.62% or above	$707	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.72% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$403	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.66% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$331	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.57% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.58% or above	Kalshi	90% 4.58% or above	$300	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.68% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$212	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.55% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.56% or above	Kalshi	97% 4.56% or above	$100	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.7% or above	Kalshi	81% No	$81	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.76% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$22	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 29, 2026? 4.74% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$4	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 04:25 PM UTC