Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time spread: AEK Athens (-2.5)

Real Madrid (+2.5)—
AEK Athens (-2.5)—

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ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 3 days

Resolution rules

If AEK Athens beats Real Madrid by more than 2.5 goals in the UEFA Champions League scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (AEK Athens's goals minus Real Madrid's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini differ only on published settlement mechanics: Gemini names source agencies and a review process for contingencies, while Kalshi gives the same outcome criteria without a detailed source list. Both resolve on the same match and the same regulation-time -2.5 line.
  • AEK Athens wins by more than 2.5 goals?

    If AEK Athens wins by more than 2.5 goals in the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time spread: AEK Athens (-2.5)

    If AEK Athens beats Real Madrid by more than 2.5 goals in the UEFA Champions League scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (AEK Athens's goals minus Real Madrid's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Gemini58% Real Madrid (-1.5)Open
Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)Gemini64% AEK Athens (+2.5)Open
Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time spread: AEK Athens (-1.5)Gemini97% Real Madrid (+1.5)Open

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As of Nov 2, 09:02 PM UTC