Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Yes88%
No12%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun uses AP/Fox/NBC consensus first, then official certification if needed; Kalshi allows accelerated determination and sets a specific resolution time. These are different settlement procedures for the same election outcome.
  • Predict.funthis market

    Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

    This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

  • Who will win the governorship in Alaska? Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

    If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Oct 30, 07:18 AM UTC

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As of Nov 2, 08:57 PM UTC