KalshiOpen
US new home · Sales in October: Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 700,000?
No83%
Above 700,00018%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 2, 2026next month
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for October 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 700,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 660,000? | Kalshi | 63% No | Open |
| Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 640,000? | Kalshi | 51% Above 640,000 | Open |
| Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 740,000? | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 720,000? | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 680,000? | Kalshi | 74% No | Open |
| US new home · Sales in October: Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 620,000? | Kalshi | 63% Above 620,000 | Open |
| Will US new home sales for October 2026 be above 600,000? | Kalshi | 92% Above 600,000 | Open |
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As of Nov 1, 01:04 PM UTC