Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? Before Jan 1, 2027
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Judiciary Committee Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling Deemed passage without an actual vote A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on an amendment to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on a resolution that only authorizes or directs an impeachment inquiry or investigation of Pete Hegseth For clarity, each of the following DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion, whatever the outcome of the vote: A vote on adopting a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, or on any article of it A vote on a motion to table, refer, or postpone a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on whether the House will consider a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, or on ordering the previous question on it A vote on a special rule that specifically refers to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, including ordering the previous question on that rule, whether the rule provides for the resolution's consideration, lays it on the table, refers it, or delays or waives the time for its consideration
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? Before Nov 21, 2026 | Kalshi | 62% Before Nov 21, 2026 | Open |
| Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? Before Nov 14, 2026 | Kalshi | 58% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Nov 1, 11:34 AM UTC