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2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party): Will PT win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

No70%
PT30%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread8%
ResolvesNov 27, 2030in 4 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If PT wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Nov 1, 11:42 AM UTC