Will Baltimore win the 1st Half?

No62%
Baltimore38%

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24h volume$13
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$939
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 6 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Baltimore wins the 1st Half of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Half. Only points scored during the 1st Half of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the half, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi’s text includes a separate tie strike that resolves Yes on a tied half, while Gemini resolves the binary market No if the half is tied. Otherwise the published criteria describe the same first-half Baltimore-win event.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Baltimore win the 1st Half?

    If Baltimore wins the 1st Half of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Half. Only points scored during the 1st Half of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the half, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Baltimore vs Buffalo: 1st half: Baltimore wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Baltimore scores more points than Buffalo during the 1st half of the Pro Football game between Baltimore and Buffalo scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st half are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st half of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Buffalo win the 1st Half?Kalshi54% BuffaloOpen
Will neither team win the 1st Half? TieKalshi91% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 03:10 PM UTC