Arizona wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Arizona wins by over 10.5 points

No99%
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026yesterday

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Arizona wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use the same 4th-quarter -10.5 spread concept for Arizona vs Dallas, excluding overtime. Their published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics and source wording, not in the underlying question.
  • Arizona vs Dallas: 4th quarter spread: Arizona (-10.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Arizona covers a -10.5 point spread against Dallas during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Arizona and Dallas scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Arizona scores more than 10.5 points more than Dallas during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    Arizona wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Arizona wins by over 10.5 points

    If Arizona wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Nov 2, 10:35 PM UTC