Baltimore wins 3Q by over 6.5 points? Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points

No99%
Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points1%

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24h volume$1.1K
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ResolvesNov 1, 202623 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Baltimore wins by more than 6.5 points in the 3rd Quarter of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on 3rd-quarter points only and use the same -6.5 / over 6.5 threshold for Baltimore vs Buffalo. Gemini specifies an official scoring-summary/source hierarchy; Kalshi states the same scoring basis without the extra source detail, which is not material.
  • Baltimore vs Buffalo: 3rd quarter spread: Baltimore (-6.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Baltimore covers a -6.5 point spread against Buffalo during the 3rd quarter of the Pro Football game between Baltimore and Buffalo scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Baltimore scores more than 6.5 points more than Buffalo during the 3rd quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 3rd quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    Baltimore wins 3Q by over 6.5 points? Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points

    If Baltimore wins by more than 6.5 points in the 3rd Quarter of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Nov 2, 08:23 PM UTC